HUB_Optimus — Evaluation Standard
Purpose
This document defines the minimum structure required for an evaluation to be considered compatible with HUB_Optimus.
It standardizes how analysis is expressed, not what conclusions are reached.
Core Rule
An evaluation is valid only if assumptions, risks, incentives, and verification limits are explicit.
Hidden assumptions invalidate trust.
Required Sections
1. Scenario Definition
- Parties involved
- Time horizon
- Scope (what is included / excluded)
2. Stated Objectives
- Declared goals of each party
- Conflicting or incompatible objectives must be noted
3. Constraints
- Legal constraints
- Political constraints
- Material or operational constraints
4. Incentive Structure
- Short-term incentives
- Long-term incentives
- Misalignment risks
5. Trust Layer Classification
- Evidence class (A / B / C)
- Verification mechanisms
- Structural trust level
6. Risk Vectors
- Escalation risk
- Lock-in risk
- Reversibility risk
- Precedent risk
7. Failure Modes
- How the scenario could fail
- Early warning signals
8. Stability Assessment
- Conditions under which stability improves
- Conditions under which instability increases
9. Explicit Unknowns
- Known unknowns
- Areas requiring additional data
Prohibited Content
Evaluations must NOT:
- assign moral blame,
- declare winners or losers,
- predict behavior as certainty,
- appeal to authority or urgency.
Outcome Neutrality
HUB_Optimus evaluations do not recommend actions.
They clarify consequences and structural risk.
Reviewability
Any evaluation must be:
- reproducible,
- challengeable section by section,
- improvable via consensus.